Thursday, November 24, 2016

The day India’s fate changed for better

I was in the UK attending a tourism meet when I was raising a toast for Trump, not because I agree with his indiscretions etc but because I was right. I was right in believing in June just after Brexit that Trump would really prove all pollsters wrong. And he did. But what greatly enhanced the feel and the high of the bubbly on my tongue that evening was the announcement of demonetisation and scrapping of the 2 largest denomination notes in India.

And that I thought required balls of steel and is the single biggest revolutionary step since the reforms of 1991.

And while the naysayers, most of them uneducated or politicians (read opposition), are crying hoarse over the move and marching around the parliament over-amplifying the plight of the people facing some difficulties, most cannot bear the shock of seeing their ill-gotten wealth become worthless in a fraction of a second. Mark my words no one of these protesters is worried about the poor farmer of an auto driver who is facing the difficulty. Most of these drama masters are suddenly cashless for there are assembly elections round the corner and election in India cannot be fought without cash in hand.

As a salaried employee since last 23 years, I haven’t really understood - what is black money. Never felt it, never touched it. But made me angry, very angry, to see people around me earning less, paying a fraction of income tax that i pay and having a better lifestyle than me, showing off cars that they don’t deserve to drive or haven’t earned with their hard work, working much lesser than me, less educated than me, and having seen no struggle in life. All thanks to a well-oiled machinery that generated a parallel economy – some say 50% of India’s GDP.

Paying cash for jewellery, land, holidays and cars had become a fashion statement and this breed with swathes and swathes of black money had blatant disregard of the nation or of the honest tax payer.

How would we expect the governments to develop infrastructure when infinitely large amounts of money for public welfare would get siphoned off because of the fertile environment that accepts and breeds black money.

It’s a sad state for any nation that among the ‘global lasts’ in ease of doing business
Why : because an honest entrepreneur just cannot wade his way through setting up an enterprise without the infinite hurdles of bureaucracy and archaic laws and unfriendly labour policies. At every step businesses have to earmark upto 15% of their capital to grease the system to facilitate licenses and permissions. By the way that’s if one doesn’t have to give a 20% equity to the politician in power.

It’s a sad state for any nation when a person walking on a footpath just drops down in a gutter and dies.
Why : because the local area engineer has taken a bribe or allowed the contractor to go scot-free without really completing the job.

It’s a sad state for any nation when banks lend to corporate entities without an adequate collateral cover and hundreds of billions of dollars of loans become delinquent.
Why : because of an inconvenient relationship between bankers, politicians and unscrupulous entrepreneurs.

The list and arguments are long but the gist is clear. The nation where 50% of its economy is a shadow and unreported, it will always create hyperinflation and assets and commodities will be unaffordable to a common man.

Modi has come so far, What he has done can cost him elections in 2019, the vote bank at the bottom of the pyramid is huge and today they are the ones who are in queues for hours trying to exchange a mere Rs 2000 (250 USD). Modi must hold his ground and take this mission to a meaningful closure thru a few simple steps such as.

  1. Make income tax records and returns of every individual in public domain. So that for every thousand rupees spent beyond a persons means, there are a thousand eyes that observe and report.
  2. Modi gave every Indian an opportunity to open a bank account, the same should be made compulsory by law and no one should be allowed to deposit or withdraw more than Rs 2000 ever.
  3. Facilitate the digital environment of wallets and cash transfers. Whether one is buying a kilo of potatoes or an apartment worth 10 million USD, choke the system to an extent that only a bank transfer or a digital payment works. PAYTM, MOBIQUICK, and the likes of these companies can play a significant role in building a transparent nation.
  4. Reduce banking transaction costs on credit/debit cards to a few basis points rather than the present few hundred basis points.
  5. Make any cash more than a couple of thousands worthless. If you cannot transact in cash, you would not want to generate it.
  6. Rather than reducing the size of balance sheet of the central bank (RBI) to the extent of the monies collected, spend this money on building roads and airports for next 20 years and not for the next 2 – which in the present scheme, by the time are commissioned are already out of capacity.
  7. Create a central registry of all land records and link transactions to Aadhar and PAN to reflect in form 26 AS.
  8. Above all, rudimentary as it may sound, pass a motion in parliament wherein financial misappropriation is treated as severely as rape or murder in the eyes of law.


Aristotle aptly said about 2300 yrs ago that “Man when perfected, is the best of animals, but when separated from law and justice, he is the worst of all”

Let the fear of law and judiciary percolate in the minds of every Indian citizen.

I wasn’t the biggest fan of PM Modi and believed that I had strong arguments in disagreeing with his rhetoric of his vision of India and his actions thereof. But today I believe that just that extra push, just that little reform, just that fear of God and justice can set India on a path to being a nation that it was 3 centuries ago when India’s GDP was 25 % of the world GDP.


Mr. Modi I am changing my opinion and I am falling in love with you, you are just a few steps away. Hold your courage of conviction in what you are doing.

9 comments:

  1. I agree with you Manu, although there are few problems which people are facing and few things could have been done better, like limit the times individual could change the currency, and using post office also for currency exchange. Cash economy had flourish well after the independence, and it really needed someone to take that bold step to stop, although its not enough but atleast there is a start, hope now Mr Modi quickly do something about the properties accumulated under bogus names and relatives of corrupt black money hoarders. Its impossible for a common man to buy a decent home with an honest income. I feel so proud that its happening in my lifetime. Time for well educated and sincere people to serve India as a politician.

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  2. Definitely agree let us see what is there in store for us in 2017 ,Surly these is a positivity and hope

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  3. Hello Mr. Manu. Ganapathy. All along I was saying believe in the best and Mr. Modi is the best. Only person who has shown the dustbin to the black money wallahs. He should not come down from his stance hopefully.

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  4. Manu... Reads brilliantly.... But I don't agree.... I live in rural India and as glamorous as "digital India " may sound to the educated and the urban.. It's still an alien concept to at least 70 percent... That includes old... Disabled... Women... Why go far... Even my own ma....
    The concept undoubtedly is great... But the fringes needed to be sorted before it was implemented in a country like ours....

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  5. Nice article Manu. Share all your beliefs (except wasn't excited about Trump) :)

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  6. Manu- your 8 pointers, if implemented, will prove the balls to be of titanium and not steel.

    I am in agreement to all the reforms that can be done but 2 facts need to be taken into account.

    1. Common man (read tax payer) and poor should get a treatment commensurate to their contribution as a tax payer, which is not happening now.

    2. Due diligence and step wise changes to be introduced as our bureaucratic channels are not used to such swift implementations.

    Rest is fine and May God bless this wonderful land.

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  7. Black money is now in us dollars... parallel economy..! Cashless transaction is for Paytm and mobile companies to make a billion out of you..who owns Paytm..? What is reliance Jio based on internet data usage so calls are free..
    90%of black money is out of the country or in gold or property..!
    Surgical strike has killed the patient..!
    Coz balls is steel had no plan for the day after ... ad-hoc cover up for the looting planned thru data and cash wallets ...
    And btw Mr Modi fan...it's $25 not 250 that I queue for to pay my auto driver, fish seller and milkman
    Just fifty more days twice over

    Into that heaven of freedom let my country awake...

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Your comment isimmensely appreciated and will be published for a discussion - soonest. Thanks. manu